If any of you live here, get out and support your Liberal candidate.
1 Edmonton, Beaumont
2 Middlesex, Kent and Lambton
3 Northumberland, Quinte West
4 Burnaby, New Westminster
5 Chatham-Kent, Essex
6 Edmonton Centre
7 Burnaby, Douglas
8 Ottawa West and Nepean
9 Barrie
10 Skeena, Bulkley Valley
11 North Vancouver
12 Ottawa, Orléans
13 Brant
14 Ancaster, Dundas, Flamborough and Westdale
15 Nipissing, Timiskaming
16 Brampton West
17 Hamilton Mountain
18 Simcoe North
19 St. Catharines
20 Bonavista, Exploits
21 Burlington
22 Kitchener, Conestoga
23 Louis-Saint-Laurent
24 Parry Sound, Muskoka
25 Kenora
26 Tobique, Mactaquac
27 Whitby, Oshawa
28 Ottawa South
29 Richmond
30 West Nova
31 Saint John
32 Halton
33 Glengarry, Prescott and Russell
34 Nanaimo, Cowichan
35 Esquimalt, Juan de Fuca
36 Sarnia, Lambton
37 Peterborough
38 London, Fanshawe
39 Thunder Bay, Rainy River
40 Victoria
41 Fredericton
42 Welland
43 London West
44 Sault Sainte. Marie
45 Hamilton East, Stoney Creek
46 Saint Boniface
47 London North Centre
48 Ajax, Pickering
49 Pontiac
50 Kings, Hants
51 Oakville
52 Winnipeg South
53 Algoma, Manitoulin and Kapuskasing
54 Mississauga South
55 Oak Ridges, Markham
56 Guelph
57 Kitchener, Waterloo
58 Huron, Bruce
59 Mississauga, Streetsville
60 Bramalea, Gore and Malton
61 Vancouver South
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5 comments:
I wouldn't be too worried about Winnipeg South. Reg Alcock has the seat locked up against weak conservative candidate Rod Bruinooge.
I don't think there is much chance of the Tories picking up anything past 40 and even 20 is probably pushing it. I live in Vancouver Centre which is a battle between the NDP and Liberals so no risk of a Conservative win here. However, I do have some relatives who live in Edmonton Centre and they will be voting Liberal.
Well I think that they may not make big gains at all, I think any gains they make in Ontario, which unless something crazy happens will be slight may be offset by losses in Atlantic Canada and BC.
Conversley the Liberals aren't going to lose that many seats in Quebec, there is a ceiling to Bloc support. So if they can make gains in Atlantic Canada and BC as expected they could hold steady around the 125-130 mark.
The unfortunately named David Mulroney has some big shoes to fill in the absence of David Anderson here in Victoria. There's also a whiff of scandal in his past. It's not too promising that his website is still "under construction"...
I have to be honest and say that the Libs in this region don't seem all that well organized or mobilized for some strange reason. They'd better get their act together pretty soon.
I agree the Liberals will make gains in BC, although in Atlantic Canada there are only four seats I could see them picking up (Halifax, St. John's South-Mount Pearl, St. John's East, and South Shore-St. Margaret's) and even of those seats I would say there is only a 10% chance of picking up South Shore-St. Margaret's. You would know better than me, but my understanding is areas such as mainland Rural Nova Scotia and Southern New Brunswick are quite right wing comapred to Halifax, PEI, northern New Brunswick, and Rural Newfoundland. Also the margins of victory for the Conservatives and NDP were considerably larger than they were further West. That being said, I am almost positive the Liberals will at the very least hold the 22 seats they already have.
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